Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 18.847360 21.896116 25.225517 29.123929 33.555681 38.429085 44.185827
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 13.742053 17.894188 22.896286 29.329731 37.344301 46.956067 59.308093
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.486684 14.969612 20.809355 28.892110 39.693808 53.523093 72.440939
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.192024 12.657133 18.874618 28.027500 40.991142 58.497495 83.682288
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.780386 11.229305 17.793991 27.983417 43.143987 64.552817 96.665625
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.773455 10.183888 17.040657 28.197395 45.533632 70.987997 110.573636
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.590359 8.630120 15.248559 26.533916 44.834500 72.744654 117.691571
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.124653 8.183404 15.131528 27.448722 48.135906 80.678130 134.587500
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.823528 7.968869 15.354275 28.913640 52.413127 90.409919 154.946207
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.249788 7.147029 14.397579 28.220643 52.992948 94.232260 166.142514
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.686692 6.243082 13.157419 26.850345 52.225670 95.710023 173.530968
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.575394 6.240518 13.607594 28.619475 57.142607 107.081038 198.180384
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.491780 6.309659 14.255564 30.933761 63.450115 121.647106 229.909912
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.200533 5.873203 13.839462 31.154721 65.947290 129.834925 251.409638
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.893373 5.337300 13.132789 30.693410 67.077250 135.637922 269.110220
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.600849 4.772663 12.270434 29.780562 67.190600 139.523585 283.550633
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.410084 4.425670 11.841464 29.734036 69.029071 146.772510 304.703395
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.261140 4.158018 11.554879 29.960010 71.439729 155.284666 328.809991
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.028549 3.599858 10.469420 28.203060 69.414553 154.851539 335.577969
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.958321 3.504209 10.533734 29.169342 73.441708 166.898046 367.684829
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.918868 3.495446 10.823291 30.716326 78.909632 182.281581 407.435017
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.792482 3.177432 10.230701 29.984562 79.079292 186.595588 424.969291
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.659105 2.799537 9.404776 28.537315 77.409874 186.840148 434.078818